Saturday, May 8, 2010

Individual rights versus the survival of a society

I am having a great deal of trouble reconciling my deeply held beliefs about individual rights versus the survival of our society. I am not going to go into a lot of details at this point because they could easily make it very difficult for some people to think rationally about the overall subject.

I see our society based very strongly on individual rights. I grew up during the Cold War and I remember the American view of the Soviet Union.

Yet I am looking at a number of things that are happening and I do not think our society will survive them. Lots of changes, some of which I think will lead to the death of our society.

I am troubled and conflicted.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

But what about Global Cooling?

Ok, I am really fed up with the fearmongering and the constant reinforcement of the "humans are evil" meme that goes along with the topic of Global Warming. A bit of analysis shows that there is a lot of money in pushing the whole Global Warming idea. From a media standpoint, Americans are real suckers for being made to feel guilty. From a scientific standpoint, most folks in the weather and climate research arena are just as scared by the current economic problems as anyone else. There's major research money to be had by siding with the doomsayers and very little funding for standing up and saying "wait, the problem may not be that bad". In fact, the (formerly) respected scientists who have done that have also been villified.

So, here's a fact. The actual amount of warming is small and really isn't visible in temperature graphs until a fair amount of data smoothing is done. Then it is visible. If there wasn't a lot of press about it, the vast majority of people wouldn't know it is happening.

Here's another fact. The majority of greenhouse gas emissions are not anthropogenic. This means that humans will need to make major changes in the amounts that we generate to make even a minor change in the overall emissions. Even then, a volcanic eruption in someplace unlikely such as Finland can vastly overshadow all the reductions in emissions that humans are accomplishing.

Here is a big question: Why is no one standing up on the subject of Global Cooling? We know it can be done.

How? Here are the three basic ways:
  1. Reduce the amount of solar energy reaching the ground
  2. Increase the amount of solar energy reflected from the ground
  3. Increase the amount of radiative cooling at night.
I'm going to go over these in reverse order, because it's my blog and that's what I want to do.

Increase the amount of radiative cooling at night

Sounds pretty silly, huh? Well, the ancient Egyptians knew how to make ice in the desert and this is just more of the same. Take a pan of water, insulate it from the ground and let it face a clear, cloudless sky. By morning, ice. Basically it is just a matter of radiating heat into a very cold sky.

So, what would happen if there was a much larger temperature differential? Well, if you take a look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_body_radiation the amount of energy radiated increases to the 4th power of the temperature differential. So, pumping a really hot working fluid through what is effectively a solar thermal collector can cause global cooling. Do I think it would be practical? Not really, but there has been at least one science fiction story written with the exact mechanism as a key part. Of course, the amount of cooling needed isn't all that great either.

Here's another idea. Clouds at night reflect the majority of heat being radiatied from the ground right back at the ground. This is why cloudy nights are often much warmer than cloudless nights. We already know how to do cloud seeding, so how about scheduling seeding operations for the early evenings? Technically, it could make a very measurable difference. Politically, the wars over water rights would start up again. Still, it is an idea.

Increase the amount of solar energy reflected from the ground

A number of years ago I made a motorcycle trip across part of the southern US in July. Yeah, not my brightest moment, but I was headed to a Mensa Annual Gathering in Alabama. Interstate the whole way. Asphalt paved Interstate for most of it. The heat really hurt me. It wasn't until a few years later that I read about the temperatures on that kind of road can easily exceed 140F.

So, maybe concrete is a much better idea than asphalt. In addition, maybe we could promote lighter covered ground cover. Kudzu is pretty dark green and probably soaks up a lot of energy. Maybe choosing more reflective roofing materials could help. None of these will make a big difference, but remember that the amount of warming to offset is also small.

Realistically, I don't think there's much that can be done here, but I felt it was important to include it as one of the places that a change could be made.

Reduce the amount of solar energy reaching the ground

Here's a place where I think a big difference could be made. Humans have already made some huge unintentional changes in the amount of energy being prevented from heating the ground. Just take a look at temperature graphs starting on September 12th, 2001. Remember what wasn't happening then? No air traffic.

So, what if a deliberate effort was made to create high altitude clouds? Most of the airline traffic tends to be below 40,000 feet. What's the optimal altitude for clouds to reflect solar energy? I don't know, that's a good question for folks a whole lot smarter than I am, but I do know that planes capable of flying above 60,000 feet have been designed and built for over 50 years. And instead of just the exhaust from jet engines, I suggest dumping tons of water vapor.

Here are some ideas and numbers to go with them:
  • Build a UAV with a fairly good autopilot. Being unmanned means. that there is no pressure vessel to worry about and the certification is going to be much simpler. People's lives aren't at stake, so cost reducing them to the point of losing 1% of the fleet per year is perfectly reasonable.
  • Go talk to Burt Rutan (or even his brother, Dick). I'll bet he could deliver a working prototype for under $2M.
  • Tool up for mass production of 1,000 to 10,000 aircraft and I'll bet the price will be between $100K & $250K. Compare that cost to the cost of other climate protection approaches.
  • The planes don't have to be designed for travel. They don't need to fly around Mach .8. Something designed to fly around 80 knots indicated (I'm not going to try to convert that to a Mach number at FL600) would be just fine. In fact, if they have to be launched the evening before just to get up to altitude by sunrise, that's just fine.
  • Jet engines are most efficient at high speeds and high altitudes. For something like this a propellor driven plane would be a better idea. Possibly even one with a piston engine instead of a turbine.
  • These planes can operate out of the middle of nowhere, it doesn't take a big airport near an urban center, so operational costs can be low.
So, in summary, maybe some of these ideas would work and maybe they wouldn't. But unlike the masses out there, I am saying "Wait a minute! Maybe we can do something to counter Global Warming". Not only that, we can do it starting now and on a tiny (in government terms) budget. Forget running around saying the sky is falling, go buy an umbrella.

It will be interesting to see if anyone comments on these ideas.

Monday, April 26, 2010

Thinking about thoughts

Life is change. I am writing here what I currently think and believe. Some day I may think somethings totally different.

I hope that I will not lie to myself, so I hold the right to change my mind. I have been wrong in the past. I expect I will be wrong in the future. I am more interested in the truth than I am in being right.

It's late. I'm stone cold sober. This is a place where I express uncomfortable truths and harsh opinions. I do not exempt myself from them.

Sunday, April 25, 2010

Where are we going?

There is a fairly well known speech by Martin Niemoller

THEY CAME FIRST for the Communists,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Communist.

THEN THEY CAME for the Jews,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a Jew.

THEN THEY CAME for the trade unionists,
and I didn't speak up because I wasn't a trade unionist.

THEN THEY CAME for me
and by that time no one was left to speak up."


I bring this up because I am a rather staunch Constitutionalist and I continue to be appalled at the American publics acceptance of the decision that it was okay to make people disappear. This is like a nightmare out of the Soviet Union of the 1960s. Yet people think it is just fine. The idea of a writ of habeus corpus dates back to the Magna Carta and is a cornerstone of the US Constitution. To decide that it doesn't apply to some people is unacceptable.

Why do I bring this up? Well, I was talking to a very upper middle class Black woman in her late 50s. Very nice lady, very intelligent (Mensa member), quite well educated and extremely liberal in her political leanings. She seemed to think it was just fine, because it would never apply to her. She was also quite happy with the idea of denying political dissidents the right to travel (it has happened, look it up) because it obviously would not affect her. Since she grew up in the days of Rosa Parks and Martin Luther King, Jr., I am amazed that she now thinks that it is just fine for people just like the ones who fought for her equal rights to be denied the right to travel.

To build upon that, I wonder if she is familiar with the Supreme Court decision of the early 1960s that affirmed that people have the right of association. This case was based upon a lower court order for the NAACP to turn over their membership roles to law enforcement. The Supreme Court decided that it would have a chilling efffect on freedom of speech. From a modern standpoint the NAACP looks rather noncontroversial, but I lived through those years. I lived in the South and I can assure you that they were, at the very least, seriously rocking the political boat.

I still believe in those rights. For everyone. I believe that people and groups who I dislike intensely still have the right to exist, to meet and to express their opinions. Just because someone is named "Mohammed" doesn't give anyone else the right to prevent them from speaking and living and travelling freely.

There are bad people in the world, but I am more afraid of those who would take away my rights in the name of protecting me than I am of those who would attack me and my country.
This blog actually has very little to do with the stories of Jack Williamson, I just thing "rhodomagnetics" is a cool word. There are a lot of other words I think are cool as well, but other folks seem to have already claimed them. If you haven't read the works of Jack Williamson, go do it now, this blog will still be here when you get back.

I set up this blog as a place where I can write about some of my harsher thoughts, some of them where truth collides with political correctness. As such, I have chosen to keep my identity somewhat vague. Many people who know me will be able to easily tell that it is me, but I doubt many of them will ever find these ramblings.

Recently I have started reading up on The Game and Pick Up Artists which led me to a number of Men's Rights Activist pages. It has been an education, I have learned that much of what I was taught throughout my life was wrong. While I don't take as extreme a view as many of the people who have written for the MRA movement, I do find a great deal of truth in what they say. I am currently trying to reconcile my thoughts about the rights of individuals versus the survival of our culture. It is certainly a challenge. In case anyone cares, I think our culture is doomed and will eitehr die out or morph into something more closely aligned with the biological drives of humans. Niether one is a comfortable thought for me, but sometimes it is important to think them.

A few things about me. I'm middle aged, never been married, fairly intelligent, reasonably good looking and obviously very short on certain social skills. That is what led me to start reading up on Game. Much of Game is not about picking up women, but rather learning to internalize and project certain traits and habits of having a high social status. I know I'm not very good at this, so I am making a conscious effort to learn what and how.

I'm new to the blog world, so I'm going to be learning a lot about how to deal with calculating machinery.

I expect this will mostly be stream of consciousness, so watch out for the Class III rapids that may (or may not) be ahead.